酷兔英语


It may be time to buy the iRumor and sell the iFact.


也许是该听信传言暂时不理会事实的时候了。



With Apple Inc. set to unveil its latest blockbuster device Wednesday, the iPad3, a window isn't only opening on one of the most-profitable periods to own the red-hot stock, but also a rare one to sell it.


在苹果(Apple Inc.)将于本周三发布最新款热门产品iPad 3之际,眼下不仅是买进这只炙手可热的股票的最佳时间段之一,也是一个难得的卖出该股的机会。



Granted, selling Apple stock short usually has been an invitation to, in the Wall Street vernacular, 'have your face ripped off.' Even not owning it has been perilous for long-only fund managers. Holding every stock except Apple in the S&P 500 would have lopped 0.7% off a manager's performance last month, according to Bank of America, equal to a typicalmonthly market gain.


对华尔街人士来说,做空苹果股票通常随后会经历令人措手不及的迅速飙升,这几乎已经是众所周知的事实。对于那些只做多的基金经理来说,就连不持有该股也成了一件危险的事。据美国银行(Bank of America)的数据,假如一位基金经理持有标准普尔500指数成份股中除苹果以外的所有股票,那么上个月这位经理的投资组合就会损失0.7%,而一般来说,美国股市一个月内的涨幅也就在0.7%左右。



The periods around Apple product launches are different, though. Ever since Apple's iconic iPhone went on sale June 29, 2007, investors and consumers alike have developed a Pavlovian response to product launches.


不过,苹果产品发布前后的时段股价涨跌情况并不相同。自2007年6月29日苹果的标志性产品iPhone上市销售以来,投资者和消费者都已经对苹果产品发布形成了一种条件反射。



Apple's stock surged 6.85% the week following the iPhone hitting the shelves. Since then, investors have tended to buy Apple's stock as soon as a new gadget is unveiled.


在iPhone上市销售后的一周内,苹果股价飙升了6.85%。从此之后,投资者一直试图在苹果新产品发布后立即买进该股。



The period between Apple product unveilings and their actual availability, anywhere from nine to 66 days, has seen an average gain in the stock of 4.53%. So Wednesday's iPad 3 debut may be an especially good time to buy or increase a stake.


苹果产品发布与上市销售之间相隔从9天到66天不等,在此期间苹果股价平均上涨4.53%。有鉴于此,本周三iPad 3发布之时尤其可以说是买进或增持苹果股票的良机。



The last two upgrades to the iPhone and iPad took only about seven business days to go on sale. Just counting the week before the on-sale date, Apple's stock gained 2.9% on average.


此前发布的iPhone和iPad两款新品在发布后只用了约七个工作日就上市销售了。仅考虑上市销售之前这一周的情况,苹果股价平均涨幅为2.9%。



Lest Apple's parabolic rise suggest otherwise, the stock's typicalweekly gain is nowhere near 2.9%. Had it kept that pace over the past decade, Apple would be worth some $29 trillion today, or around double all U.S. stocks